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Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 1, 2022 at 8pm UK
 
EF

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 2
Frankfurt

Arthur (39')
Reis (35'), Paulinho (45+2'), Inacio (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kamada (62' pen.), Kolo (72')
Jakic (7'), Kamada (14'), Sow (58'), Pellegrini (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Neither side should hold back on the attacking front given what is at stake this week, and Sporting have always looked a threat going forward in Europe this term - at least when they have kept all 11 men on the field. Amorim's side have not exactly defined consistency this season and could still be caught out by a Frankfurt outfit that have had no issues finding the back of the net recently, but with the vociferous home crowd behind them, we expect the Portuguese outfit to progress as Frankfurt face a nervous wait to learn whether they will defend their Europa League crown. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.35%) and 3-2 (5.21%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawEintracht Frankfurt
43.57% (-0.207 -0.21) 20.37% (-0.061 -0.06) 36.06% (0.268 0.27)
Both teams to score 75.66% (0.31 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.47% (0.363 0.36)22.53% (-0.363 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.38% (0.496 0.5)41.62% (-0.494 -0.49)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.27% (0.082999999999998 0.08)11.73% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.14% (0.176 0.18)36.86% (-0.175 -0.17)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (0.273 0.27)14.28% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.92% (0.526 0.53)42.08% (-0.524 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 43.57%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 36.06%
    Draw 20.37%
Sporting LisbonDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 5.21% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.85% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-0 @ 3.59% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.79% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.81% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 43.57%
2-2 @ 7.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-1 @ 6.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-3 @ 3.38% (0.044 0.04)
0-0 @ 1.68% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 20.37%
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.73% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.41% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.26% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.3% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.15% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.64% (0.037 0.04)
0-4 @ 1% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 36.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, October 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Spurs 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, October 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, October 4 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Marseille
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgarter Kickers 0-2 Frankfurt
Tuesday, October 18 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Frankfurt 5-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Spurs 3-2 Frankfurt
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League


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