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Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
SL

Spurs
1 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Bentancur (80')
Romero (67')
Conte (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Edwards (22')
Coates (41'), Ugarte (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 Sporting Lisbon

Tottenham would do well to take advantage of Sporting's absentees this week, especially given their penchant for goals at home, but it is difficult to back Conte's side with any real confidence while Kulusevski is not there to pick the lock. Sporting's own attacking prowess will be taken down a notch without top goalscorer and top assister Goncalves, but barring any more moments of madness from Amorim's side, we can envisage a low-scoring stalemate as Tottenham share the points in Europe's premier competition for the first time in over a decade. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 56.63%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.92%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawSporting Lisbon
56.63% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 19.58% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 23.8% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 69.71% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)26.73% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.85% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)47.15% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.28% (0.0010000000000048 0)9.72% (0.0020999999999987 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.63% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.38% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.21% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)22.79% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.51% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)56.49% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 56.63%
    Sporting Lisbon 23.8%
    Draw 19.58%
Tottenham HotspurDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.92% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-2 @ 2.98% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.88% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-2 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 56.63%
1-1 @ 7.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
0-0 @ 2.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 19.58%
1-2 @ 5.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 3.28% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 23.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Spurs 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, October 23 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Spurs
Wednesday, October 19 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-0 Everton
Saturday, October 15 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 3-2 Frankfurt
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Brighton 0-1 Spurs
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Frankfurt 0-0 Spurs
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, October 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, October 4 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Gil Vicente
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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