Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Changchun Yatai | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
38.21% (![]() | 26.56% (![]() | 35.23% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.29% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.39% (![]() | 52.6% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.74% (![]() | 74.25% (![]() |
Changchun Yatai Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.19% (![]() | 26.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.9% (![]() | 62.09% (![]() |
Beijing Guoan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.44% (![]() | 28.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.65% (![]() | 64.34% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Changchun Yatai | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
1-0 @ 10.07% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.32% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.18% Total : 38.2% | 1-1 @ 12.63% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.65% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.59% 1-2 @ 7.92% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.23% |
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