SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 15.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Guangzhou |
63.31% ( 0.12) | 21.3% ( -0.06) | 15.39% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.15% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.09% ( 0.13) | 47.91% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.91% ( 0.12) | 70.09% ( -0.12) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.51% ( 0.08) | 14.49% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.52% ( 0.15) | 42.48% ( -0.16) |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.32% ( -0.01) | 43.68% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.14% ( -0.01) | 79.86% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Guangzhou |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 63.3% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.3% | 0-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.5% Total : 15.39% |
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