SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 54.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
54.28% ( 0.01) | 23.82% ( 0.01) | 21.9% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.93% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.17% ( -0.04) | 48.82% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.07% ( -0.04) | 70.92% ( 0.04) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( -0.01) | 17.88% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.33% ( -0.02) | 48.66% ( 0.02) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.24% ( -0.04) | 36.76% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.45% ( -0.04) | 73.54% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 54.28% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 21.9% |
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