SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 7 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Shandong Taishan | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 7 | 8 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Guangzhou City | 7 | -16 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 63.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 14.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Shandong Taishan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shandong Taishan.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Guangzhou City |
63.05% ( -0.21) | 22.35% ( -0.05) | 14.6% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 43.34% ( 0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.57% ( 0.66) | 53.43% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.04% ( 0.56) | 74.96% ( -0.56) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.57% ( 0.16) | 16.43% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.89% ( 0.29) | 46.1% ( -0.29) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.85% ( 0.79) | 48.14% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.66% ( 0.57) | 83.33% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Guangzhou City |
| 1-0 @ 14.28% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.71% Total : 63.05% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.35% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.96% Total : 14.6% |
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