Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 1-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
0) 
-0.04) 
