SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
40.06% ( -0) | 25.76% ( 0.28) | 34.19% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 54.77% ( -1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.64% ( -1.29) | 49.35% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.6% ( -1.18) | 71.4% ( 1.17) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% ( -0.58) | 24.32% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.29% ( -0.82) | 58.71% ( 0.82) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.37% ( -0.79) | 27.62% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.83% ( -1.03) | 63.16% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.06% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.19% |
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