SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Curacao had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Curacao win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Honduras | Draw | Curacao |
37.44% ( -0.24) | 26.7% ( 0.03) | 35.85% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.87% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.83% ( -0.14) | 53.16% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.26% ( -0.12) | 74.73% ( 0.11) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% ( -0.2) | 27.51% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.98% ( -0.26) | 63.01% ( 0.25) |
| Curacao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.55% ( 0.06) | 28.45% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.79% ( 0.07) | 64.21% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honduras | Draw | Curacao |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 37.44% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.85% |
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