While both sides had their share of struggles in the quarter-finals, we are backing the Americans' experience and the quality of "Captain America," aka Christian Pulisic, who is having a sensational campaign in Italy and has a knack for stepping up in big moments. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 69.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.51%) and 3-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (4.48%).

Result
USA	Draw	Jamaica
69.33% ( -0.04)	19.42% ( 0.11)	11.25% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 42.7% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.96% (

-0.59)

49.04% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.88% (

-0.54)

71.12% (

0.54)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.97% (

-0.19)

13.03% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.42% (

-0.39)

39.59% (

0.39)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.1% (

-0.48)

50.91% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.73% (

-0.33)

85.28% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

USA 69.32%

Jamaica 11.25%

Draw 19.42%

USA	Draw	Jamaica
2-0 @ 13.77% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 69.32%	1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.52% Total : 19.42%	0-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 11.25%