Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.02) 
