Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 75.52%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Gernika Club had a probability of 8.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.88%) and 0-3 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Gernika Club win it was 1-0 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
