Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 75.31%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Mensajero had a probability of 9.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.53%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Mensajero win it was 2-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Espanyol in this match.
-0.2) 
0.26) 
