Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
-0.62) 
0.48) 
