Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg

Feb 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
6 - 0
Aurora

(Botafogo win 7-1 on aggregate)

Santos (3', 52', 69', 81'), Tiquinho (15'), Savarino (45+2')
Barboza (32'), Suarez (38')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Michelli (16'), Robles (29'), Blanco (38'), Rene Barboza (54'), Alaniz (59')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Botafogo and Aurora.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Aurora 1-1 Botafogo
Thursday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aurora

All competitions

Last Game: Aurora 1-1 Botafogo
Thursday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 72.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Aurora had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.17%) and 3-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for an Aurora win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Aurora
72.07% ( -0.06)	18.08% ( -0.06)	9.85% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 41.97% (

0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.8% (

0.58)

47.2% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.57% (

0.54)

69.43% (

-0.54)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.28% (

0.15)

11.72% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.16% (

0.32)

36.84% (

-0.32)

Aurora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.54% (

0.62)

52.46% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.69% (

0.39)

86.3% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 72.04%

Aurora 9.85%

Draw 18.08%

Botafogo	Draw	Aurora
2-0 @ 14.12% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 5.41% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.08% Total : 72.04%	1-1 @ 8.5% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.49% Total : 18.08%	0-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.86% Total : 9.85%