Both Fortaleza and Botafogo are desperate to return to winning ways and can ill-afford to drop more points if they wish to meet their respective targets as the season draws to a close.
Botafogo have fared better in recent meetings with Fortaleza and we believe that the visitors will have the edge in the final third to help them claim all three points and climb to the Brasileiro summit.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
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