Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Academia Puerto Cabello win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Academia Puerto Cabello win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
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