Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 10.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.49%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.
0.23) 
-0.12) 
