Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw has a probability of 27.4% and a win for Penarol has a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.44%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Penarol win it is 1-0 (9.25%).

Result
Penarol	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
25.37% ( 0.5)	27.4% ( 0.61)	47.23% ( -1.11)

Both teams to score 45.31% (

-1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.63% (

-1.81)

59.37% (

1.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.25% (

-1.41)

79.75% (

1.41)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.58% (

-0.56)

39.42% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.88% (

-0.53)

76.12% (

0.53)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.79% (

-1.33)

25.21% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.06% (

-1.87)

59.94% (

1.86)

Score Analysis

Penarol 25.37%

Atletico Mineiro 47.22%

Draw 27.4%

Penarol	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.44% Total : 25.37%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.4%	0-1 @ 13.69% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 9.44% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.19% Total : 47.22%