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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 62.6%. A draw has a probability of 22.6% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers has a probability of 14.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it is 0-1 (5.9%).
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
62.6% ( -0.18) | 22.58% ( 0.25) | 14.83% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 43.23% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.12% ( -1.06) | 53.88% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.66% ( -0.89) | 75.34% ( 0.9) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.26% ( -0.43) | 16.74% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.34% ( -0.77) | 46.66% ( 0.77) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.92% ( -0.74) | 48.08% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.71% ( -0.55) | 83.29% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 14.38% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.55% Total : 62.58% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.54% Total : 22.57% | 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.98% Total : 14.83% |
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