SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 71.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Aucas had a probability of 10.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.21%) and 3-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for an Aucas win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Aucas |
71.01% ( 0.23) | 18.93% ( -0.13) | 10.06% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 40.19% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.89% ( 0.25) | 50.12% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.92% ( 0.22) | 72.08% ( -0.21) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.14% ( 0.14) | 12.86% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.76% ( 0.29) | 39.24% ( -0.28) |
| Aucas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.13% ( -0.05) | 53.87% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.8% ( -0.03) | 87.2% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Aucas |
| 2-0 @ 14.57% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 14.21% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 71% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 18.93% | 0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.73% Total : 10.06% |
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