SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Flamengo |
44.04% ( 0.02) | 25.95% ( 0.2) | 30.01% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 52.61% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.54% ( -0.95) | 51.45% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.74% ( -0.83) | 73.26% ( 0.83) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( -0.4) | 23.26% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.81% ( -0.58) | 57.18% ( 0.58) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% ( -0.65) | 31.44% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.18% ( -0.75) | 67.82% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.01% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.01% |
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