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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 20, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Luís Alfonso Giagni
SL

12 de Octubre
0 - 2
San Lorenzo


Velazquez (21'), Ojeda (25'), Caceres (75'), Salinas (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diaz (45'), Romero (59')
Gordillo (35'), Sabella (90')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between 12 de Octubre and San Lorenzo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a 12 de Octubre win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a 12 de Octubre win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
12 de OctubreDrawSan Lorenzo
38.95%25.37%35.68%
Both teams to score 56.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58%47.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36%69.64%
12 de Octubre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97%24.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71%58.29%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18%25.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22%60.78%
Score Analysis
    12 de Octubre 38.95%
    San Lorenzo 35.68%
    Draw 25.36%
12 de OctubreDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 8.85%
2-1 @ 8.54%
2-0 @ 6.31%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.07%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.95%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.2%
2-2 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.4%
1-2 @ 8.11%
0-2 @ 5.69%
1-3 @ 3.66%
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 2.57%
1-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 35.68%

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