Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a 12 de Octubre win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a 12 de Octubre win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.