Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 71.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 10.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.17%) and 3-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Oriente Petrolero win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
-0.12) 
0.02) 
