Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 71.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Metropolitanos win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.
8.58) 
-4.41) 
