Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 35.47%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 0-1 (12.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
