Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona SC would win this match.
