With Genoa in good league form, they will be confident heading into the game against SPAL, who are still getting used to the ideas of their new manager.
We would expect Genoa to continue their unbeaten run, as they also beat SPAL recently in the league.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Genoa.
-0.58) 
0.18) 
