As knockout kings - Inter lifted last year's Coppa Italia and are into the semis of both cup competitions this season - it is the home side who should scrape through to the final. The Nerazzurri have thrived on the big stage despite slipping up several times in Serie A; Juve's limitations have been exposed while winning just one of their last five matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.
-0.46) 
0.23) 
