While Lazio have kept 11 clean sheets in the first half of a Serie A season for the first time in 50 years, Juventus have not lost once at home in the Coppa Italia for 18 games. A cagey battle between the clashing styles of Sarri and Allegri could be in store, then, and the Old Lady's former boss may heap more misery on his old employers and leave Turin with the prize of a semi-final place.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.
-0.27) 
0.39) 
