Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
1.05) 
-1.15) 
