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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
S

Cremonese
2 - 0
Salernitana

Buonaiuto (26' pen.), Tsadjout (88')
Ghiglione (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Coulibaly (39'), Piatek (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 3-2 Cremonese
Sunday, May 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 3-2 Udinese
Saturday, May 27 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cremonese 1-1 Salernitana

All but one of Salernitana's away games under Sousa have been draws, with 1-1 being the most popular outcome. Thus, another low-scoring stalemate could be on the cards at Stadio Giovanni Zini. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 47.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
CremoneseDrawSalernitana
47.08% (3.871 3.87) 26.89% (0.32 0.32) 26.02% (-4.187 -4.19)
Both teams to score 47.21% (-3.559 -3.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.82% (-3.299 -3.3)57.19% (3.304 3.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.96% (-2.699 -2.7)78.04% (2.703 2.7)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (0.42999999999999 0.43)24.31% (-0.428 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.32% (0.605 0.61)58.69% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.37% (-5.083 -5.08)37.64% (5.086 5.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.59% (-5.326 -5.33)74.41% (5.33 5.33)
Score Analysis
    Cremonese 47.08%
    Salernitana 26.02%
    Draw 26.89%
CremoneseDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 12.93% (1.69 1.69)
2-0 @ 9.15% (1.294 1.29)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.124 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.31% (0.656 0.66)
3-1 @ 4.22% (0.11 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.244 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.248 0.25)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 47.08%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.15% (1.097 1.1)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.579 -0.58)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.906 -0.91)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.703 -0.7)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.638 -0.64)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.474 -0.47)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.428 -0.43)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 26.02%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Lazio 3-2 Cremonese
Sunday, May 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 1-5 Bologna
Saturday, May 20 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Cremonese
Sunday, May 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 2-0 Spezia
Saturday, May 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Cremonese
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 1-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 3-2 Udinese
Saturday, May 27 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-2 Salernitana
Monday, May 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, May 13 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 2-1 Salernitana
Monday, May 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 3-3 Fiorentina
Wednesday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A


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