Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%).
-0.41) 
0.11) 
