It should be a close encounter between a pair of sides near the top of the league table, but the loss of Terrier might tip the scales in favour of the home side, while we expect Rennes could have a let-down given the emotional high they experienced when defeating PSG last weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
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