With Marseille missing some key defenders for this match, we can certainly envisage Troyes getting themselves on the scoresheet at some point during the encounter.
However, Marseille have looked in excellent offensive form since returning from the break, and they should narrowly secure a fifth straight league victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
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