Danish Superliga | Gameweek 1
Jul 23, 2023 at 1pm UK
Ceres Park
We said: Aarhus 1-0 Vejle
Aarhus will be looking to challenge the likes of Copenhagen for the Superliga crown this term, and home matches against newly-promoted sides are fixtures that they should be picking up maximum points in.
Vejle made a name for being defensively solid last season, and we believe they will frustrate their hosts at Ceres Park for a period before ultimately falling short.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Vejle had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Vejle win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aarhus in this match.
| Result |
| Aarhus | Draw | Vejle |
37.84% ( 0.23) | 26.73% ( 0.04) | 35.42% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 51.73% ( -0.14) |
| 46.68% ( -0.17) | 53.31% ( 0.16) |
| 25.13% ( -0.14) | 74.86% ( 0.14) |
| 72.65% ( 0.05) | 27.35% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.19% ( 0.07) | 62.81% ( -0.07) |
| 71.21% ( -0.24) | 28.79% ( 0.24) |
