DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion an der Dusternortstrasse
Kerem Sari (38'), Touray (61')
Kerem Sari (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Atlas Delmenhorst and St Pauli.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 93.72%. A draw had a probability of 4.6% and a win for Atlas Delmenhorst had a probability of 1.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-4 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.94%) and 0-5 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.12%), while for an Atlas Delmenhorst win it was 2-1 (0.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
| Result |
| Atlas Delmenhorst | Draw | St Pauli |
1.69% ( 0.06) | 4.59% ( 0.18) | 93.72% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 41.48% ( -0.37) |
| 84.47% ( -0.72) | 15.53% ( 0.72) |
| 68.56% ( -1.13) | 31.44% ( 1.13) |
| 42.16% ( -0.32) | 57.84% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 10.49% ( -0.18) | 89.5% ( 0.18) |
| 98.38% ( -0.1) | 1.62% ( 0.11) |
