Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.
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