Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 52.55%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.