Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 56.16%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 22.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
ADO Den Haag	Draw	Jong AZ
56.16% ( 0.71)	21.22% ( -0.12)	22.61% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 61.75% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.7% (

-0.15)

36.31% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.57% (

-0.16)

58.43% (

0.16)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.1% (

0.16)

12.9% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.68% (

0.33)

39.32% (

-0.33)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.89% (

-0.57)

29.11% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.97% (

-0.71)

65.03% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

ADO Den Haag 56.16%

Jong AZ 22.61%

Draw 21.22%

ADO Den Haag	Draw	Jong AZ
2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.1% 5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.02% Total : 56.16%	1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.22%	1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.21% Total : 22.61%