Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.