Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 17.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
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