Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 57.2%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 22.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De Graafschap	Draw	Jong PSV
57.2% ( -0.05)	20.69% ( -0)	22.11% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 63% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.65% (

0.08)

34.35% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.73% (

0.09)

56.26% (

-0.09)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.03% (

0.01)

11.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.62% (

0.02)

37.38% (

-0.03)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.57% (

0.08)

28.43% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.81% (

0.11)

64.18% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

De Graafschap 57.2%

Jong PSV 22.11%

Draw 20.69%

De Graafschap	Draw	Jong PSV
2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 57.2%	1-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.69%	1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.36% Total : 22.11%