Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
