Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.