SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Dordrecht |
59.35% ( 0.78) | 20.53% ( -0.08) | 20.12% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 60.38% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.62% ( -0.63) | 36.38% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.48% ( -0.69) | 58.51% ( 0.69) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.98% ( 0.02) | 12.01% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.53% ( 0.04) | 37.47% ( -0.05) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.62% ( -1.02) | 31.38% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.25% ( -1.2) | 67.75% ( 1.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.27)1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 59.35% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.53% | 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.61% Total : 20.12% |
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