SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | Jong Ajax |
49.69% ( -0.13) | 23.09% ( 0) | 27.22% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 60.24% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.43% ( 0.09) | 40.56% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.05% ( 0.1) | 62.94% ( -0.09) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.48% ( -0.01) | 16.52% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.74% ( -0.02) | 46.26% ( 0.02) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.15% ( 0.14) | 27.84% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.55% ( 0.18) | 63.44% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 49.69% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 27.22% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
