Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Jong FC Utrecht	Draw	VVV-Venlo
42.91% ( -1.84)	24.39% ( 0.69)	32.69% ( 1.14)

Both teams to score 59.02% (

-1.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.36% (

-2.8)

43.63% (

2.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.97% (

-2.8)

66.03% (

2.8)

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.53% (

-1.94)

20.46% (

1.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.06% (

-3.17)

52.93% (

3.16)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.21% (

-0.66)

25.78% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.26% (

-0.9)

60.73% (

0.9)

Score Analysis

Jong FC Utrecht 42.91%

VVV-Venlo 32.69%

Draw 24.39%

Jong FC Utrecht	Draw	VVV-Venlo
2-1 @ 9% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.38) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.28) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.85% Total : 42.91%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.62) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.39%	1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.72) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.69%