SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.12%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Dordrecht |
43.35% ( 2.15) | 22.56% ( 0.16) | 34.08% ( -2.3) |
| Both teams to score 66.33% ( -1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.71% ( -1.33) | 34.28% ( 1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.81% ( -1.51) | 56.19% ( 1.51) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.53% ( 0.31) | 16.47% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.82% ( 0.55) | 46.18% ( -0.55) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% ( -1.73) | 20.59% ( 1.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.87% ( -2.81) | 53.13% ( 2.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.31) 1-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.47)2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.48)3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.32)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.16)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.6% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.94% Total : 34.08% |
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