SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 55.38%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.78%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Jong PSV |
55.38% ( -0.27) | 19.91% ( 0.13) | 24.72% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 69.59% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.67% ( -0.48) | 27.33% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.1% ( -0.6) | 47.91% ( 0.61) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.79% ( -0.22) | 10.21% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.48% ( -0.5) | 33.52% ( 0.51) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.5% ( -0.17) | 22.5% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.94% ( -0.25) | 56.06% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.55% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.79% Total : 55.38% | 1-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.62% Total : 19.91% | 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.08% 3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 24.72% |
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